|||

The Obama Doctrine - Manage Risk, Maintain Capability and Test New Policies

Tom Friedman has a great interview with Obama on how he views the new nuclear deal with Iran and his views on engaging countries that the United States has traditionally shunned.

What Obama says below is a blueprint for policy making in general.

 

We are powerful enough to be able to test these propositions without putting ourselves at risk. And that’s the thing … people don’t seem to understand,” the president said. You take a country like Cuba. For us to test the possibility that engagement leads to a better outcome for the Cuban people, there aren’t that many risks for us. It’s a tiny little country. It’s not one that threatens our core security interests, and so [there’s no reason not] to test the proposition. And if it turns out that it doesn’t lead to better outcomes, we can adjust our policies. The same is true with respect to Iran, a larger country, a dangerous country, one that has engaged in activities that resulted in the death of U.S. citizens, but the truth of the matter is: Iran’s defense budget is $30 billion. Our defense budget is closer to $600 billion. Iran understands that they cannot fight us. … You asked about an Obama doctrine. The doctrine is: We will engage, but we preserve all our capabilities.”

The notion that Iran is undeterrable — it’s simply not the case,” he added. And so for us to say, Let’s try’ — understanding that we’re preserving all our options, that we’re not naïve — but if in fact we can resolve these issues diplomatically, we are more likely to be safe, more likely to be secure, in a better position to protect our allies, and who knows? Iran may change. If it doesn’t, our deterrence capabilities, our military superiority stays in place. … We’re not relinquishing our capacity to defend ourselves or our allies. In that situation, why wouldn’t we test it?

Up next Death of the Private — Public Space Indy Johar in a thought provoking post. This is the space where social value is going to be created. The time may have arrived where the prevalent Six Strategy Traps Roger Martin and A G Lafley’s Playing to Win: There is no perfect strategy—no algorithm that can guarantee sustainable competitive advantage in a
Latest posts Systems Thinking in Strategy Plurality of Strategic Frameworks Co-Design for Innovation Digital Connectivity and Mental Health Empathy and Imagination Geopolitics Drive Business Models Green Hydrogen Opportunity for Australia Kanyini, South Australia’s Very Own Satellite Taking Shape Mauboussin on Diversity Network Thinking and Design Thinking States of Change - Six Principles Sustainability Skills of the Future Synthetic Biology Untitled Document Best EVs Are Small EVs Because these surprise-generating AIs have learned their art from Fascinating: Adani Green the world leader in hybrid Digital Switzerland Catl After 5 Yrs Gulf and the Race for Renewables and Green Hydrogen Australia needs to change its skilled migration approach. Preston Model and Community Wealth Building More on Green Sustainability skills of the future from Microsoft captures the key Circular Economy Business Models Green Hydrogen Opportunity for Australia Network Thinking and Design Thinking Foresight and Design Tan Sri and Greater India entrepreneurship and greece